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The number of Americans diagnosed with Alzheimer's disease is
expected to more than triple from today's 4.6 million by 2050,
according to researchers.
Dr. Denis
Evans, professor of medicine at Rush-Presbyterian-St. Luke's Medical
Center in Chicago, presented the new forecast at a news conference
at the eighth International Conference on Alzheimer's Disease
and Related Disorders in Stockholm.
Evans said
the new numbers, slightly higher than those he projected a decade
ago, are based on a study of 6,158 people in Chicago. The new
estimate ranges from 11 million people on the low end to 16 million
on the high end.
"The
projected increase in numbers of people with Alzheimer's disease
is not due only to the total number of people alive, but to the
substantially increased survival of people with the disease,"
Evans said.
The increase
in Alzheimer patients will drive health care costs -- currently
estimated to run some $100 billion a year -- into the stratosphere.
And with no federal or state program to pay the costs of nursing
home care for Alzheimer patients, the financial burden will fall
primarily on the children of these patients, researchers warned.
"The
study on Alzheimer's prevalence and those on the costs related
to Alzheimer's underscore the urgent need for more research into
the causes, prevention and treatment of this devastating disease,"
said Stephen McConnell, chief executive officer of the Alzheimer's
Association.
The Association
is urging the U.S. Congress to increase federal funding of Alzheimer's
research to $1 billion annually.
"We must
find the answers before these projections become a reality,"
McConnell said.
Other
sources: International Conference on Alzheimer's Disease
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